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The
CFA exam has experienced quite a change since AnalystForum
first started in 1999. The number of candidates taking the
exam has increased dramatically while the testing format has
evolved to accommodate the inflow of new candidates. We've
asked a group of experts in CFA exam preparation for their
opinions on the state of the CFA program and how recent changes
impact CFA candidates. Dr. Andrew Temte, President and CEO
of Schweser Study Program, Dr. Thomas Gosnell of E&T NetPubs
Review, and the Board of Experts at PASS PRO; all develop
test preparation materials for the CFA exam.
Team
AnalystForum: AIMR has indicated that, beginning
this year with Levels II and III, topics may be covered in
either essay or item set format. How should candidates prepare
for this new policy?
Dr.
Temte: It's
all about conceptual learning. If the candidate has truly
learned the underlying concepts, it shouldn't matter whether
the concept is tested as essay or item set. They should be
able to apply their knowledge to either exam technology. Unfortunately,
we all test differently - some perform better on essay and
some better on multiple choice. My gut tells me that AIMR
will stick relatively closely to their advertised exam weightings,
so this should be somewhat of a moot point. What they're really
trying to do is protect themselves by allowing for integrative
and innovative questions. A great example would be an equity
valuation question that uses the output of linear regression
to find the required rate of return on a security to use in
the valuation process.
Dr.
Gosnell: Candidates should prepare in the same way they
have in the past. That is by doing the assigned readings and
understanding the inter-relatedness of the material. Levels
II and III are very different from Level I. In the Level I
exam, questions tend to be very specific to learning outcomes
with little integration across the curriculum. Levels II and
III have significant amounts of integration across the curriculum.
It is very difficult for a prep course provider to predict
how AIMR exam writers will integrate that material. I would
imagine that as candidates begin to rely more and more on
the sample exam questions written by prep course providers,
we will see declines in the Level II and III pass rates similar
to those we have seen in the Level I.
PASS
PRO: A new development for Levels II and III is that AIMR®
may cover any topic in either essay or item set format. However,
we do expect to see certain topics such as individual and
institutional investing (at Level III) and company valuation
(Level II) to continue to appear in the essay-type format
and others such as financial statements to appear in the item-set
format. The key issue now is that Levels II and III candidates
must be prepared to solve any question starting with a blank
piece of paper rather than picking out the solution from four
choices. The essay-type format is not necessarily more difficult,
but some candidates struggle with it more than others. To
prepare for this format candidate must supplement multiple
choice question practice with writing model answers and solving
numerical problems without being given the answer. The CFA®
exam should NOT be the first time that the candidate values
a stock or critiques an investment policy statement.
Team
AnalystForum: The 2002 CFA exam had some of the lowest
pass rates on record. What do you attribute this to and what
is your outlook for pass rates in 2003?
Dr.
Temte: There are several things going on here, but I'll
just speak to two.
First,
AIMR has a real knack for asking bizarre questions on topics
that are otherwise reasonably straightforward. I get many
post exam comments from candidates who tell me that they thought
they knew the material but had "no idea" what AIMR was trying
to ask in a particular question. Some of this phenomenon can
be attributed to exam-day stress and time pressure. However,
there are just too many of these types of comments to explain
this away.
Second,
there has been a marginalization of the candidate pool within
the last 5-7 years. I don't want to appear elitist, but the
realist in me sees more candidates coming from weaker educational
backgrounds and a broader array of employment classifications.
Fighting against the validity of this argument is the fact
that each year the curriculum gets a little tougher, so it's
extremely difficult to compare the exam/candidate pool combination
of 7 years ago with the exam/candidate pool combination of
today.
My
long-run expectation for CFA pass rates is 50 percent at level
1, 55 percent at level 2, and 60+ percent at level 3. Hence,
I expect a slight upward bounce from the abysmally low pass
rates of 2002 - but not much.
Dr.
Gosnell: I attribute the low pass rates to several factors.
First, the last few years have seen the largest growth in
enrollments for the Level I exam coming from outside the US.
For many of these candidates, English is not a first language.
The Level I exam is difficult enough without having to deal
with language issues. Second, there has been increasing emphasis
in the investment management industry on being a charterholder,
or being in the process of attaining the charter, as a condition
of employment. I think there are more candidates today who
in the past would have self-selected not to take the exam
knowing they probably would not be able to pass. They are
now being forced into the process. Third, I think that there
have been increasing numbers of candidates who have tried
to rely solely on prep courses thinking that if they just
read the notes and try to answer sample exam questions then
they will be prepared. For some candidates, depending upon
their background, this approach may be sufficient. Most candidates,
though, need to work through at least some of the readings
specified in the AIMR study curriculum.
PASS
PRO: The steady drop in the pass percentages across all
levels is a concern to anyone sitting the CFA® exam this year.
There are numerous theories that have been proposed by observers,
including the influx of non-English speaking candidates, more
inexperienced candidates, and conscious action by AIMR® to
raise the passing score etc.
But
rather than dwelling upon the reason behind this tread the
candidates should focus on their own preparation. Over fifty
thousands candidates did pass the exam in 2002 and any candidate
who stays focussed and stays motivated has a high chance of
passing in 2003.
Team
AnalystForum: What is the most common mistake you see
candidates making in preparing for the CFA exam?
Dr.
Temte: Studying
almost exclusively from question banks and old AIMR questions.
For
exams like the Series 7 or 63, and many insurance exams, it
is relatively easy for a study provider to estimate the structure,
style and content of the actual test due to its narrow curriculum
focus and the frequency with which the exam is offered. As
a result, studying questions can be a relatively effective
study method for these types of exams.
Candidates
should never expect to see the questions asked in the AIMR
sample exams or any study provider's proprietary sample exams
on the real test. Hence, the trap that some candidates fall
into is one where they primarily study questions from sample
exams or test banks and fail to rigorously learn the underlying
concepts. In this situation, it is extremely difficult for
these candidates to transport their knowledge base to actual
exam questions that they have never seen before. Couple this
inability to apply rote knowledge of specific questions with
the excess stress of exam day and you have a formula for disaster.
Dr.
Gosnell: I think that the most common mistake is failure
to prepare adequately. Most unsuccessful candidates do not
put forth the time and effort required to prepare for the
exam. They spend much of their time looking for quick and
easy solutions that promise to help them pass instead of learning
the material laid out in the curriculum. Some candidates spend
their time trying to memorize as many potential exam questions
as possible being more concerned about memorizing the correct
answers than understanding the questions and why the answers
are correct. They may or may not pass depending upon the correspondence
between the questions they memorized and the questions on
the exam. Again, there is no substitute for learning the material.
PASS
PRO: Most candidates sitting for the CFA® exam have been
out of university for several years. Hence one of the biggest
challenges for such candidates is staying focussed and motivated
over the relatively long period of preparation that is required
to pass the CFA® exam. The most common mistake candidates
make is over confidence – successful analysts think that they
know enough about the world of finance. This may be true,
but there are lots and lots of concepts in the CFA® curriculum
that it is unlikely that anyone can know them all without
studying the material.
Another
common mistake that candidates make is spending too much time
reading study notes and textbooks, and not spending enough
time doing question practice. Reading the vast amount of material
in notes and books can be motivation-sapping and in any case
the candidate is likely to forget much of this knowledge very
quickly. Doing question practice breaks the monotony of notes,
helps the candidates to put theory into practice and cements
the knowledge as it is acquired.
Team
AnalystForum: What is the most common characteristic of
successful CFA candidates?
Dr.
Temte: It's
a toss-up between perseverance and self awareness.
Perseverance
is an obvious choice due to the sheer volume of material and
the Herculean effort that must be put forth by the average
candidate. Too many candidates try to take shortcuts and wind
up sabotaging their study efforts. With all the pressures
of job, family and other social commitments, it is all too
easy to put your studies on the back burner only to wake up
in early May to the realization that you're not where you
need to be to pass.
Self
awareness is all about knowing yourself and your limitations.
Too many candidates think they need to know everything and
spend too much time focusing on the minutiae. Alternatively,
they spend way too much effort on concepts that they find
difficult and forsake those concepts that are worth just as
many points but come much easier. A good example of this is
the level 2 candidate who spends two months on derivatives
only to find that they didn't put in the requisite effort
on easier topics like portfolio theory and equity. It's a
terrible thing for a professor to say, but candidates need
to remind themselves that they're "shooting for a B" on this
exam (you can pass with a "C," but I suggest comfort of the
extra cushion). A successful candidate knows when to give
up on a question that's giving them trouble and move on to
more fertile ground.
Dr.
Gosnell: The most common characteristics of successful
CFA candidates are focus, perseverance, and a systematic approach
to exam preparation. The successful candidate will establish
an exam preparation time line early in their study. Maintaining
their focus and sticking to their study time line, they will
be ready on the day of the exam. A candidate who systematically
works through the curriculum, takes the time to understand
the Learning Objective Statements (LOS) and diligently answers
sample questions based on those LOS will greatly improve their
chances of passing the exam. I have seen it work for the students
I have mentored though the Level I exam.
I
have also seen the other side of the coin. This is the candidate
who purchases study notes and sample exam questions. The candidate
reads through the notes and makes half-hearted attempts at
the test questions. When they take a sample exam and get questions
incorrect, they don’t go back to the notes and try again to
get the correct answer. Instead they read the solution to
the question and assume that if they understand the answer,
then they understand the material. Unfortunately, using this
approach means that they may not be able to answer a similar
question phrased in a slightly different manner.
PASS
PRO: There are two types of successful candidates. First,
the ones that prepare very hard (300+ hours) and know the
CFA® body of knowledge inside out. Second, the ones that put
in an average or even below average amount of study time (150+
hours) but are very good at assessing what they already know
and zeroing in on the knowledge gaps with a sharp focus on
success.
Another
key ability of successful candidates is simply test-taking
skill. All prep providers and AIMR®, stress the importance
of guessing answer that you don’t know and eliminating the
improbable choices, etc. But the fact is that the successful
candidates are better at playing this game and can often guess
even numerical answers without working through the calculations.
This ability is partially inherent in the candidate and partially
a result of extensive question practice.
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