Tom Roberts loves to read about stocks. He subscribes to the Los Angeles Times, the New York Times, and Smart Money Magazine. He respects the various publications but places more emphasis on Smart Money magazine because it specializes in investment issues. What behavioral characteristic does Roberts have as the basis for his decision making?
A)
Framing.
B)
Anchoring.
C)
Representativeness.
A . Framing?
CP
Yes it is! Care to explain what’s the subtle difference between Representativeness and Framing?
Representativeness - believe perseverance cognitive bias where existing experiences / classifications are appropriate and place undue weight on them.
Framing: Information processing cognitive bias where a person answers a question differently depending upon the way it is asked.
CP
What kind of behavioral bias is an investor most likely displaying when they tend to hold on to their earlier beliefs and fail to fully incorporate new information about a stock into their forecast?
A)
Conservatism bias.
B)
Anchoring and adjustment bias.
C)
Hindsight bias.
What’s the subtle difference between Conservatism bias and Anchoring and adjustment bias?
Which of the following statements resembles the behavioral trait of conservatism bias most accurately?
A)
Rather than sell at a small gain, the investor waits for the stock to reach his forecasted target price.
B)
The investor tends to avoid or ignore information that is contrary to his beliefs.
C)
The investor places an incorrect value on information because it readily fits into a category with which he has recent experience.
Just sucks that after spending most of the weekend reading about BF from CFAI books, I could just manage to get 63/91 correct (69%) from Qbank.
Studying With
B&C
Studying With
A & B ?
A & A
Which of the following statements resembles the behavioral trait of conservatism bias most accurately?
A)
Rather than sell at a small gain, the investor waits for the stock to reach his forecasted target price. <– Hence this is Conservatism (by eliminaton).
B)
The investor tends to avoid or ignore information that is contrary to his beliefs. <– Confirmation
C)
The investor places an incorrect value on information because it readily fits into a category with which he has recent experience. <– Representativeness
CP
B&A
band 10, here i come
B & C
RS
Studying With
AA. Totally agree with cpk.
“Rather than sell at a small gain, the investor waits for the stock to reach his forecasted target price.” this is not a typical conservatism bias.
"Courage is the force that makes our lives brilliant." - Daisaku Ikeda
btw - wording on the first Q sucks. i’m calling BS on that. ”fail to fully incorporate”… what does that mean… does it mean they ignored it or they processed it and then disregarded it?… the hell if i know…
band 10, here i come
Correct ans is A&A
C)
The investor places an incorrect value on information because it readily fits into a category with which he has recent experience. <– Representativeness
cpk on the part about representativeness above , wouldn’t the bias be Cognitive bias of Information Processing - Availablity ( categorization ) . Even the word category is used here ?
However agree 100% it is A and A , with second one reached only by elimination , because of lightly confusing wording.
Pls help
1)What kind of behavioral bias is an investor most likely displaying when they tend to hold on to their earlier beliefs and fail to fully incorporate new information about a stock into their forecast?
It fails to FULLY incorporate new information……..means it does adjust little bit…Why it’s not Anchoring & adjustment?
2) Which of the following statements resembles the behavioral trait of conservatism bias most accurately?
Correct ans A…i thought C…The investor places an incorrect value on information because it readily fits into a category with which he has recent experience. But there is no NEW information??
RS
rahuls, our reasonings are alike, but that’s not what the Qbank wants, hope CFAI is on our side on the exam day!
The word “information” itself means new data . Also C would most likely be availability bias
janakisri
Availability -> is quite closely linked to Recallability. easily recalled = more likely to be classified.
There is an aspect of categorization that occurs with availability as well,however here there is the problem of being unable to categorize. Different problem sets require different search sets. Inability to come up with a proper search set results in classifying as something already seen.
representativeness -> is related to categorization / basketing. - parts of that have the base rate neglect and the sample size neglect (look at a small sample, classify what you are seeing as that piece)
representativeness vs. conservatism: representativeness overweights the new rate (neglects base rate) while conservatism overweights the base rate, neglects the new rate.
representativeness seems to be a “if-then”categorization. Availability - is more of “unable to classify” so it is the most recent experience.
CP
CPK, thanks for explaining , I agree with you , the nuance is slight , but it is as you put it.
The idea is that the investor ( FMP ) correctly classifies it but his recent experience ( with that category ? ) causes a valuation error. In Availability the FMP searches for the best fit , and puts in an incorrect category
I also came to this answer by elimination, but after thinking about it, it does sound correct. If an analyst sets a target price by incorporating certain factors or news they expect from the company, then after the news comes out the stock moves slightly but not all the way to their target. If the analyst does not adjust his target he is discounting the new information and overweighting his original beliefs in spite of the new information - which is by definition conservatism.
L3Crucifier
Let’s have more of BehFin questions pls…….
RS
I hope only the definition come in exams ( :P)… It is really tough to identify in real cases… :(
RS