A couple of Commone Probability Distribution Problems

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hyang's picture

1. A countinuous uniform distribution has the parameters a=4 and b=10. The F(20) is:
A. 0.25
B. 0.50
C. 1.00
D. 2.00

2. About 50% of all observations for a normally distributed random variable fall in the interval:
A. mean +- 0.67ó
B. mean +- ó
C. mean +- 2ó
D. mean +- 3ó

How’s your thinking process to deal with this type of questions? Thx.

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map1's picture
suzmis's picture

My thoughts would be as follows:

1) F(20) - since 20 > 10 (the upper bound), it must be equal to 1.

2) Well, 1 standard deviation is approximately equal to 67%. Hence, it must be less than one standard deviation. Therefore, the answer should be A.

Hope im correct?

hyang's picture

Thanks, now I see how obviously it is…

For the 1st Q, I was stuck at the format of the question. I think it’s actually asking what’s the probability of a random variable greater than 20?
P(X>20) = 1 - P(X<=20) = 1 - F(20) = 0 (because P(X) shall fall in the range of a F(20) = 1

For the 2nd Q, I originally thought there might be a way to calculate the exact confidence interval. From your reply, it seems it’s just an implied guess from what we already know.

map1's picture

Not really a guess if you check the tables. You need the z value that leaves 25% of the observations in the right tail, and 75% o the left. Search for 0.75 in the table for cumulative probability for a standard normal distribution. That happens for a z between 0.67 (for which 0.7486 are in the left tail) and 0.68 (0.7517).

The closest z is in answer A (0.67) compared to answers B (z=1), C(z=2), and D (z=3).

hyang's picture

Thx. I’m wondering why not the symetric percentage from the mean to both sides?

jut111's picture

it’s not a guess at all.

we know that 68% of observations fall within +or- 1 SD. therefore 50% of observations must be less then 1 SD.

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