Paul is right again, and correctly predicted Germany to win 3rd place on Saturday! (Uruguay surprisingly missed the free kick and their final chance to tie at 90+2’.) Paul predicts Spain to win on Sunday. Do you really think Paul will be right again?? Or, just the biggest scam of 2010, and Paul just happens to be wrong this final time, and billions of people worldwide are going to lose their bet ?? Recall: From binomial distribution, the probablilty of Paul being correct all 7 times consecutively is the same as if Paul is correct for the first 6 times, but wrong in the final match. (1/2)^7 = 1 / 128 = 0.781% It is equally like Paul is that good, or the scam is that good.
Spain will win.
whui, you are wrong. It is independent event. You should judge it as that. so there is exactly 50% probably that Paul is right/wrong.
Has anyone SEEN this octo actually pick the team???
It’s the Paul of Cthulhu.
ASSet_MANagement Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Has anyone SEEN this octo actually pick the > team??? yes, there are videos uploaded on the web. they drop two boxes with a clam in each, and the flags of the countries playing are on the boxes. then the octopus goes for the clam which is in the box with the flag that looks more red in color. it’s not that stupid, it can open the lid. it goes for the blood. people are retarded
whui Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Recall: > From binomial distribution, the probablilty of > Paul being correct all 7 times consecutively is > the same as if Paul is correct for the first 6 > times, but wrong in the final match. > > (1/2)^7 = 1 / 128 = 0.781% > take it easy, chief…
Congrats to Spain !! Congrats to Octopus Paul for being correct 8 times consecutively, for a probability of 1/256 = 0.39% !!
We need to give Paul some clams that say Bull and Bear.
ASSet_MANagement Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Has anyone SEEN this octo actually pick the > team??? Yes. His Spain and Germany picks have been known since Thursday.
bchadwick Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > We need to give Paul some clams that say Bull and > Bear. Ha, i suggested already to my boss to buy an octupus to each trader
@ Valores interesting suggestion. 