If I convert that to CAD, I could pretty much buy the entire Canadian oil industry, right?
To be honest, I don’t know if I would want to win $1.5B. Of course I’d like to have that cash sitting in my PA, but there would be enormous public and family pressure. The world would be leeching off you. I think it’s easy to say you could ignore all that, but I’m not sure that’s realistic.
There is a reason why lotto winners are not generally happier a few years out from their win. Some are even less happy. There are significant consequences to a windfall like that. Even more so in today society where ostentatious wealth is frowned upon.
^ Come on geo. The people who are miserable after winning the lottery are typically uneducated trailer-trash who have no sense of fiscal responsibility. They win $5 or $6 million and think they can spend $750,000 per year for the rest of their lives. You are a worldly, well-educated financial professional. Sure, leeches will come out of the wordwork trying to get a piece of the pie, but I’m sure you already know who your true friends are and will be extremely generous with them anyway.
That was tried 10 or 15 years ago. They did end up winning the jackpot, as well as a bunch of partial jackpots, but several of the retailers they had lined up for printing their tickets backed out and they actually failed to purchase every possible combination and could have lost almost everything. I’ve heard the odds are 1 in 200 something million, so I assume that’s the number of possible combinations. At $2 per ticket, you’d have to layout $400+ million, so if the lottery is split you lose.
So $2 times 300 million possible number combinations is only $600 million. Seems one could just buy the lottery. Would suck if there were other winning tix and you’d have to split the pot…
Given the increased ticket sales for each larger jackpot, your ticket will never have a positive expected return. I considered it, but I won’t be buying on those grounds. Maybe if the income tax is repealled.
The 600 mill would go right back into the pot. So you wouldn’t be paying 600 to get 1.5bil (current pot) you’d be paying 600 to get 2.1bil (current pot + your purchase).
I assume taxes, split pots, and the practicality of printing that amount of tickets eliminates this option.
Which is why the expected return peaks and then declines as a pot grows. The expected return does change, eventually inversely to The pot because of the increased tickets sales. The number of tickets sold per drawing is a huge factor as the tickets sold surpasses the number of possible winning combinations. Something like a 97% chance of a winner tonight and the most probable out come is around 2.5 winners. Hahahaha