Guess the 2008 L2 General Pass Rate

100% - Congratulations Everyone!!!

40 percent with a 95% CI (35-45(

40 percent with a 95% CI (35-45)

35%

40%

69%

35%

I hope for 43%, but think that in reality it will be 37%

34%

39%

37% … am certain of it

4%

46

40% seems quite reasonable… if reasonable has anything to do with this

somewhere between 0.003% and 0.004% (I’m the only candidate who passed, sorry).

FYI - the average of all predictions except for the last post, and including my own guess of 45% (5 yr mean reversion) , is 40.1 %. If you believe in “The Wisdom of Crowds” then the actual result should be close. I’ll update on the 19th to see how close the group got and which poster was most accurate. Good Luck Everyone!

36%.

jasonindc Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > 46 congrats-- you win the prize!

what do i get for second?

what do I win? I passed I guess that is good enough.