wow thats pretty close to a fail, mate. think about it - if you fell for some of the tough traps that we have been identifying, you are done!
btw thats not what I thought of your performance when I read about your 98% confidence of passing and the 2% chance of failing and retaking (not sure I got your numbers straight, but not too sure you did either).
The first 30 questions were awesome. Finished them within 1 hour. Feeling like a BSD. >70%
Went to the bathroom, drank some water, nirvana.
Came back.
The next 30 were a humbling experience. My Port Mgmt curve ball was here also. Maybe 50% in those 30. Finished 2 minutes before the bell. Very very stressful. Were used to 30 min spare room for the 60 questions. I guess I’ve spent round 10-14 min filling the answers boxes. Cost me some Fixed Income questions since I was not totally relaxed.
PM
Maybe 75%. Finished them in 2 hours. Tried to “deduct” a formula for two Corp Finance questions for 30 minutes. Failed.
So >60% + 75%: a sure pass or a very bitter surprise.
I failed Band 4 last year, so I’m predicting fail Band 8 this year. I used CFAI exclusively, and redid all LOC’s and made meticulous notes this year, but don’t think I made it.
Whatever calculations u guys do or predictions you make the fact of the matter is 60% of you on this thread will eat the dust on result day so forget about the exam now and move on …