Your 40/60/80 score...

Total: 59.1%

AM:58.2%

PM:60%

Passed~

It was close… wink

62.56 AM

75% PM

68.75 average.

Really thought I did better on the AM. Won’t complain about it though.

hmmm interesting… so some people pass with 59 and some failed at 63?

so my previous theory was probably correct, that some questions weigh more than others.

I don’t think all MC questions are 1 point each.

AM: 73.2

PM: 76

Overall: 74.6

Pass

Excel

61% AM

78% PM

Overall 69%

Pass

No, all MC questions carry the same weightage. Trying to derive a score from the result distribution matrix using any method is completely bogus and incorrect.

For example, the commonly used 40/60/80 method for MCQ is complete nonsense. You can never get exactly 80% (nor 60% nor 40%) in any section - the itemsets are in multiples of 6.

So for example, Fixed Income MCQ was 1 item set, 6 questions in PM paper worth 18 points.

  • If CFAI will put you in > 70% category, then you scored 6/6 or 5/6 (or multiples of those) which implies you got 100% or 83.33% respectively in that section. If you use the 40/60/80 method you’re losing atleast 3.33% not to mention 20% if you acutally scored 100%. A better approximation might be to go with the expected value of your score in that section - if you are placed in > 70% category in a section, then you either scored 83.33% or 100% - two outcomes with probability of 0.5 each. So expected value for that particular section will be 83.33% x 0.5 + 100% x 0.5 = 91.67%. Even this is just probabilistic approximation.

  • Similarly if they place you in 51% - 70% category, then you scored 4/6 (or multiples of that ratio) which implies you got 66.67%. In this case you’re pretty much certain what you scored.

  • If you’re in the final category of <=50%, then you scored 0/6 or 1/6 or 2/6 or 3/6. If you attempt to calculate an expected value with those 4 possibilities with 25% probability each, then you get expected value = 25%.

So the 40/60/80 method is utter nonsense, even if you go with some level of probabilistic analysis, it should be a 25/66.67/91.67 method for the PM paper. For the AM paper, even such rudimentary analysis is impossible.

People do 40/60/80 for fun/ to gloat/ bask in their glory etc.

We cannot infer that each MCQ question carries a different weightage based on 40/60/80 or even the more logical 25/66.67/91.67 method.

Each MCQ is worth 3 points (which is the time alloted to that MCQ as stated by CFAI) while grading the question and calculating what you scored- there’s no complexity there.

Note that weightages are assigned to each MCQ to arrive at a MPS which is a part of the Modified Angoff method - it has no connection to individual scores.

Doubtful. The expectation function is NOT even monotonic - that is, if x is your 40/60/80 score and E(x) is your expected raw score, it does NOT follow that a > b ==> E(a) >= E(b).

Why is it so hard to grasp that the 40/60/80 metric is stupid? You could have gotten 50% using this and had a better actual score than someone who got 70% using it.

Pass

40/60/80 - 62.9%

AM - 61.9%

PM - 64.0%

Caveat: Above is just a very innacurate depiction of true scores :slight_smile:

Good post, but it doesn’t make sense to assume that 83% and 100% are equally likely outcomes given that someone scored over 70%.

Not exactly analogous, but if you flipped a fair coin six times, if you knew that there were greater than 4 heads, it would be much more likely that there were 5 rather than 6 total heads.

Pass.

Overall Score: 64.50%

AM Score (Essay): 53.00%

PM Score (Item Set): 76.00%

This has to be the ugliest pass ever but anyway it’s over. Weeeeeeee!!!

Passed.

Overall : 69.72%

AM: 61.4% (exactly half of the question >70% and half <50%, but doing better in Individual Port Mgmnt got me the pass)

PM: 78.0% (all >70% except for the 51-70% in Equities, which I rightfully hate)

Why do you think I said (in the opening paragraph of the thread):

I was hoping to avoid some self-righteous, pretentious crap like this:

Pass 65.4 %

AM was 58.5%

PM was 72.0%

Thank the lord that is over for me. Did Dec 2011 / Jun 2012 / June 2013, with two young children. Think the wife would have divorced me if I didnt get through.

  • Your 40/60/80 score is: 68.3% - Your minimum score is: 56.8% - Your maximum score is: 80.8%

AM 67, PM 69

Passed.

AM 59.2%, PM 80%, Avg 69.6%

Overall: 64.2%

AM: 52.8%, PM: 75.6%

Failed… =(. Band 8.

  • 40/60/80 score: 63.5% - Minimum score: 46.2% - Maximum score: 76.1% Essay Q# Topic Max Pts <=50% 51%-70% >70% 1 Portfolio Management - Individual 20 - * - 2 Portfolio Management - Individual 15 - - * 3 Portfolio Management - Individual 16 * - - 4 Equity Investments 17 - * - 5 Economics 20 - - * 6 Portfolio Management - Institutional 18 * - - 7 Portfolio Management - Institutional 14 * - - 8 Fixed Income Investments 17 * - - 9 Fixed Income Investments 9 * - - 10 Portfolio Management - Risk Management 18 * - - 11 Portfolio Management - Performance Eval. 16 * - -

Item Set

Q# Topic Max Pts <=50% 51%-70% >70% - Alternative Investments 36 - - * - Economics 18 - - * - Equity Investments 18 - - * - Ethical & Professional Standards 36 - * - - Fixed Income Investments 18 - - * - Portfolio Management 18 * - - - Portfolio Management - Asset Allocation 18 - - * - Portfolio Management - Risk Management 18 - - *

had it by the skin of my teeth!

40/60/80 score: 62.5% with AM at 53% PM at 72%

min : 43.5%

max: 77%