Chance of failure

CFA Level II
#1

50%?

#2

That was a discount rate, not my personal chance!

#3

nope. (1+r)/(1-q) - 1 I think it was ~43%

#4

Correct… (1 - r / 1-q ) - 1 = 50%

#5

Sorry 1 + r

#6

definately 1+r

#7

What was r & q? I may be misremembering the possible responses. If we both used the same formula, 50% could have been it.

#8

50%

#9

22% failure; 17% rate?

#10

i think risk free failure rate 18.8% beta 1.2 marking error 15% time zone bias 30% different version systemetic error 20% too naive to trust schwezer notes 20% ops, it’s gone up beyond 100%, don’t forget not to adjust for beta.

#11

50%…

#12

The probability that I failed the exam? Probably 75%

#13

50%

#14

200%

#15

Hyperinflation

#16

“22% failure; 17% rate?” Then, yes, 50%. Disregard my 43 in my post above - obviously thinking of a different answer set.