Comment From Schweser 3 Day Seminar

From the Review Workshop Questions: If there is a forecast of rising interest rates and narrowing credit spreads, the result will be a positive effect on the surplus because “Narrowing credit spreads lead to outperformance of comparable credit risk-free fixed income assets.” They cite decreasing credit risk in the high yield bonds.

Why would narrowing credit spreads lead to a surplus? Do they mean the risk-free fixed income rates improve relative to the high-yield bonds?

A narrowing credit spread means the yield on a HY bond falls, which means its price goes up.

Not sure why the forecast of rising interest rates wouldn’t counteract that and make the price fall though…

You talk about surplus… So, is the duration of your assets and liabilities different? That might lead them to that cited result.