I plan on reading the S1 soon, so I don’t have an investment opinion just yet, other than I expect it to pop the first day before settling in somewhere near the IPO price.
I read a sell side report this morning on FB, and the valuation model was ridiculous. 7% terminal growth, and the guy could still only get to $85B. I stopped reading after that, since I couldn’t focus on anything but how much he sounded like he belonged in 1999.
If LNKD can be worth 10 billion dollars then this thing can be worth 100 billion. I think until that thesis gets proven wrong we’re gonna have a very expensive facebook stock.
what is the pt of reading an S1 if you’re basically trading it short term? you don’t need to even read it actually, the P/E and P/S ratios tell you all. the other stuff is all qualitative…
Tikka, i think you should come here with some russian babes…
I’m interested too, even though I don’t have any plans to participate. This is really the first big IPO of the millennial generation. It has lots of ramifications.
I’ve changed my mind and decided to put in a relatively low conditional offer ($30). But this is just pure gambling on my part. I bet there will be others like me once this thing lists.
why are ppl even interested in this madness? i have been actively investing for about 4 years now, so i missed the craziness of the tech bubble…but this has to be the most absurd thing i have seen…
This doesn’t even come close to some internet IPOs back in the day. Watching CNBC from 1998-2000 on any given day you’d see another IPO up 300% in a day. It was manic.
This is stupid, but not even on the same level of stupid as Pets.com.
Agreed. I don’t like the valuation, but facebook makes excellent profits and is growing like a weed (for now). Pets.com made no money and had a business model that made no sense. Groupon was far closer to Pets.com than Facebook is.
That said, I think we’ll see a sizable pop. I bet it closes the day close to $75.