First time pass rate

Does anyone know (or have a guess) on the pass rate for people taking the level 3 exam for the first time? I’m guessing around 25%.

Knowing it would be impossible, since it has never been published. But if i had to guess: 45%

45% has been the overall pass rate last couple years, so it would have to be lower than that. Maybe 30%?

I would guess lower. There are a lot of repeaters for L3, and I bet they outnumber the 1st timers