the real question: how would jesus look in a fleece vest? Tool or cool?
tickersu:
Many people understand the problem with inductive reasoning when they hear the story of the black swan (guy has never seen a black swan, and takes this lack of proof of black swans and erroneously tries to use it as proof that black swans don’t exist. I’m assuming this was what you’re going for). The problem is they can’t apply this kind of thinking in everyday life. This is actually the same problem people fall prey to in statistics when they don’t have a decent understanding of it. They fail to reject the null hypothesis and they erroneously conclude there is evidence of the null hypothesis or that the null has been proven since there wasn’t enough evidence in contradiction to the null (i.e. I didn’t see a black swan, therefore no black swans exist). Incredibly incorrect, and pretty poor logic.
are we agreeing or disagreeing
Yeah, about 15 minutes from where I work according to the Mormons.
I think we’re agreeing that it’s illogical to say that absence of proof is proof of absence. It’s possible I misunderstood what you were going for but I thought you were tying that idea to the problem of induction.
Charlie_Work:
in sandals: cool
in wingtips: tool
Sandals: so hot right now
Yeah, ok, we’re on the same page.
Oh fuck yeah… Grue and bleen… So good… So perplexing…
Maybe you could clarify that?
Thanks. I don’t know why that didn’t click-- it’s probably because I heard that no more than twice and it was quite a few years ago. Always interesting to read.
