Poll: The Fed's Next Move

CFA General
#1
  1. Lower Rates by 75 bps, citing downside risks 2. Lower Rates to 25 BPS citing inflation concerns 3. Lower Rates by 50 bps + announcing a more aggressive MBS repo program 4. ??? One thing that seems pretty clear right now - the market will be materially higher or lower by next Friday.
#2

50bp. Book it.

#3

Nope… they’re not buying crap morties or fiddling with rates anymore. They’re bidding directly on bubble houses.

#4

Lower rates by about $4000/hr?

#5

what no choice of 100??

#6

Doesn’t today’s gold price rise portend a rate cut of at least 25/50 basis points. 75 suggests a panic don’t it? Not that it matters at this point. Willy

#7

cut 50bps

#8

Agree, 50 bps .

#9

75

#10

im voting 25

#11

I vote kick out bush

#12

I would vote for 50 but the markets will not care either way.

#13

75 bps

#14

I say 50. But I think we should wait until the day of or before the FOMC meeting. If anything has been learned in this market it’s that a lot can happen quickly

#15

bump. 100

#16

Halifax: Last I heard MS was calling 100 basis point cut. IMO this is a bit much.

#17

I say 75 bps.

#18

KJH Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Halifax: > Last I heard MS was calling 100 basis point cut. > IMO this is a bit much. I totally agree. I’m just saying they will. Last week the talk was 75 with the crazy chatter being 100; now it is 100 with the crazy chatter being 125

#19

100 bp

#20

After seeing them move the Discount Rate on a Sunday, I’m guessing 100 bps is the most likely scenario today.