Year
Forecasted Returns
Asset X
Asset Y
2010
12%
16%
2011
11%
18%
2012
14%
12%
2013
16%
8%
2014
14%
10%
this is one of the easiest possible questions you could ever hope to get! if you see this on the exam it will be a gift. Just look up the definitions of how to compute expected return and standard deviation, for example expected return is the sum of weighted average returns, for 2010 that would be 0.5*12% + 0.5*16% etc. you can do this for each year then compute the average expected return and use that for the standard deviation calculation…
yup, it is easy, my answers are avg return -13.1% and std dev -0.01019… however, does not tally… hence I thought I might have missed something
How are you getting a negative std deviation? that is not possible.
is
std dev =0.011402?
Could you pose the question more precisely?
I assume you are supposed to estimate the expected return and the standard deviation of the portfolio comprising assets X and Y and each asset’s weight is 0,5. Am I right?
In this case you need to estimate the covariance of the asset return in order to calculate the portfolio standard deviation.
Not so easy as it seems.
Just by looking at the numbers we can see that the expected returns of both assets will be positive double digits.
E[X] = 0,134; St. dev.[X] = 0,0194
E[Y] = 0,128; St. dev.[Y] = 0,0414
Correlation coefficient bet. XY = -0,977
E[P] = 0,1198; St. dev. [P] = 0,01141
that’s a good answer but not necessary to get that complex. just compute the portfolio return for each year then take the average value, the average is 13.1% as noted elsewhere. then, compute the square of the annual return - this average for each year. divide that by the number of observations -1, take the square root and you have 1.1402%.
Year X Y Portfolio (port-mean)^2 2010 12% 16% 14% 8.1E-05 2011 11% 18% 15% 0.000196 2012 14% 12% 13% 0.000001 2013 16% 8% 12% 0.000121 2014 14% 10% 12% 0.000121 mean 13.4% 12.8% 13.1% 1.1402%