*this question is simply to to understand statistics, not realy to figure out how much of the program to study.
assume the CFA level I exam has 400 LOS
CFA institute will test 120 questions which for simplicity here we assume each will come from a different LOS
Assume a student either knows an LOS or does not, binary, if he knows it he will answer correct, else her will answer wrrong.
How do you calculate the probability of the student passing the exam given that he knows a certain number of LOS?
If he knows 70% of LOS, is the probability of him getting a 70 or more on the exam calculate using binomial formula, 120 trials, 0.7 chance of success, and calculating the probability of scoring above 84 or above correct yeilding 54%?
*if correct, how do you think removing the condition of only one question per los changes the results, would it bias it more towards making the test easier to pass cause if an los shows up more than once he gets double points, and he is more likely to know the los than not ? or would it not change anything