i’m confused with what they are considering a random walk. in the solution they say:
fx rates is a random walk because the estimated intercept does not appear to be significantly different than 0 and the estimated coefficient on the first lag is 0.9910 (close to 1).
so in my head this means that a random walk is define as b0 = 0 and b1 = 1
but then the following paragraph says:
is the exchange rate is a random walk, then b0=0 and b1= 0 and the error term will not be serially correlated.
b_0 doesn’t matter in determining whether or not it’s a random walk, and 0.99_01’s pretty darned close to 1. 0.99_ 10 _'s even closer. I’d stick my neck out and say that it is.