Volume 6 Page 94-95
Target Investment in stocks = m x (Portfolio Value - Floor Value)
“When stocks are trending down, the allocation to stocks decreases more than 1:1 with the decrease in value to stocks.”
“The CPPI strategy is just the opposite of the constant-mix strategy in using liquidity and being momentum oriented.”
Anyone find the formula to be inconsistent with the concept of a CPPI strategy? I understand that m is greater than 1 to relfect the fact that this is a momentum strategy - given an up move, the equity allocation value increases and the manager decides to increase the sensitivity to the stock market even more (hence, m > 1) in anticipation of another up move - but to me the formula seems to suggest that we buy stocks in a bear market which is a contrarian strategy not a momentum strategy.
If we invest £100 and hold a 60/40 stock/bond portfolio and the stock market moves down 20%, we now have a 55/45 stock/bond portfolio with the value of stocks being £48 - the cushion is £48. Based on the formula, we should increase the value of the cushion since m > 1. This entails buying stocks when we anticipate a further drop in the market (taking a momentum perspective), which doesnt make sense.
What I’d like to think they’re trying to say is that given the performance of a stock market, m is the multiplier by which adjust the cushion value, so if the market drops 20% and m = 1.1, the value of the allocation to equities should be reduced to a lower amount than £48 in anticipation of further down moves.
Another question, anyone kow what benchmark they’re referring to in the table in Exhbit 9. In an up-market for example, Buy and Hold “outperforms”, but I’m not clear of what it outperformed. All I know is that CPPI > Buy and Hold > Constant Mix in an up-market and a down-market whereas Constant Mix > Buy and Hold > CPPI in flat a flat market.
Thanks in advance.