Rent vs. Buying house "breakeven horizon"

So, Zillow has published what they call a “breakeven horizon”, that is, the number of years that they say you must stay in a house before you save money by buying vs. renting. The results are sorted by metropolitan area. Results seem pretty correlated with general real estate prices though… surprise (?).

Methodology:

http://www.zillow.com/blog/research/2012/08/01/buy-versus-rent-breakeven-analysis-methodology-2/

Results:

http://www.bizjournals.com/seattle/prnewswire/press_releases/Washington/2012/08/02/SF50892

30 Largest Metropolitan Areas Covered by Zillow

Avg. Breakeven Horizon (yrs.)

City Level Variance

High

Low

New York

5.1

24.1

1.4

Los Angeles

4.3

14.0

1.7

Chicago

2.8

13.3

1.0

Dallas-Ft. Worth, Texas

2.1

10.6

1.0

Philadelphia

3.0

11.1

1.0

Washington

3.5

9.5

1.3

Miami-Fort Lauderdale, Fla.

1.6

6.6

1.0

Atlanta

2.5

7.7

1.1

Boston

4.3

16.5

2.1

San Francisco

5.9

24.3

2.0

Detroit

1.7

11.2

1.0

Riverside, Calif.

2.0

4.0

1.0

Phoenix

1.7

4.8

1.0

Seattle

4.0

20.7

2.3

Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.

2.7

12.8

1.1

San Diego

3.6

6.8

1.1

Tampa, Fla.

1.6

3.9

1.0

St. Louis

2.5

11.3

1.0

Baltimore

2.8

25.8

1.9

Denver

2.5

6.8

1.5

Pittsburgh

2.1

12.7

1.0

Portland, Ore.

3.5

5.3

1.4

Sacramento, Calif.

3.1

12.6

1.2

Orlando, Fla.

1.7

4.1

1.0

Cincinnati, Ohio

2.1

11.8

1.0

Cleveland

2.4

16.9

1.6

Las Vegas

1.7

2.7

1.3

San Jose, Calif.

8.3

27.2

2.6

Columbus, Ohio

2.4

8.3

1.5

Charlotte, N.C.

2.7

4.3

1.4

Anyone planning on buying a home in the next 18 months? Or done it recently? I’m strongly considering taking a swing this winter/early spring 2013.

I might buy a house in 2013. Looks like it will take me between 6-8 years to recover the investment cost…

I thought about buying a place in NYC, but decided against it. I like having a lot of capital and being mobile.

I bought a place this past April, and overall I think it’s going to work out nicely. My rent kept getting jacked up plus I’m planning on staying there for 5-10 years, so I’m not too worried about hitting the break even. It’s also really nice having a yard again.