Definitely have to question the list poop listed above (which was meant to be the odds of winning the SB going into the 2014 season, right?):
the Falcons were terrible in 2013 (many injuries), something like 3 wins total. No way they would be that high (same as GB!).
on what planet would the Colts have (much) lower odds than the Texans (same div)?
The Eagles were defending NFC East champs, why would they have the worst odds among that whole division?
These are the odds I found going into the 2014 Season:
Denver Broncos 11/2
Seattle Seahawks 6/1
New England Patriots 8/1
San Francisco 49ers 8/1
Green Bay Packers 9/1
New Orleans Saints 9/1
Philadelphia Eagles 20/1
Chicago Bears 22/1
Indianapolis Colts 22/1
Detroit Lions 33/1
Arizona Cardinals 40/1
Atlanta Falcons 40/1
Baltimore Ravens 40/1
Cincinnati Bengals 40/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 40/1
San Diego Chargers 40/1
Carolina Panthers 50/1
Kansas City Chiefs 50/1
Dallas Cowboys 66/1
Houston Texans 66/1
Miami Dolphins 66/1
New York Giants 66/1
St. Louis Rams 66/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 66/1
Washington Redskins 66/1
Cleveland Browns 75/1
Minnesota Vikings 75/1
New York Jets 75/1
Buffalo Bills 100/1
Tennessee Titans 100/1
Oakland Raiders 200/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 250/1
The odds a few posts up look like they would have been for the 2013 season (2014 Super Bowl).
Heard a story recently on Mike & Mike about a guy who bet last year that Auburn would win the National Championship. He put a hundred down on a ticket that paid wildly, like 300 to 1. So when they went to the National Championship game, he was facing a potential $30k payoff. Somehow (can’t remember the details), he had the option of selling the ticket for $10,000, but he refused.
Then they lost the game. And his ticket became worthless.
I smell a new frontier of diversification into Bro’s hedge fund…
ah he got greedy.
^Actually, he was an alumni and a huge fan. He thought that by selling the ticket he would be “selling out”. It was more of an emotional decision and not an economic one.
he also had the option to hedge and bet on FSU, but he didnt do that either
I don’t throw darts at a board, I bet on sure things.
Interesting article:
A Head Coach Botched The End Of The Super Bowl, And It Wasn’t Pete Carroll
You should be the bookman and take the bets. Separate the degenerates from their dollars.
This is why people should never bet on teams to which they are emotionally attached.
What was the final line on the SB this year? Last I heard, it was Pats by 3 and north of 70% was on the Pats, meaning the books got killed (not considering what they made on all the prop bets).
Sports betting always seems so random to me. Dude rolls his ankle and the book gets killed. Stocks are much more predictable imo.
Of course there is an element of randomness – but there is also a level of predictability too.
I’ve managed to get pretty sharp at forecasting NBA player performance on individual games (at least good enough to grind out a profit on NBA player sportsbook props).
ok fair enough. once you kick in emotion, then all rationality easily goes out the window
Here’s the actual story. It was actually 500-1 on a $100 ticket, and he was urged to make an offsetting bet on FSU to guarantee some money.
that’s impressive
People who make good money on sports don’t bet several games a week like most losers do. They put big money on a few games a year. There are few opportunities every year and it must be jumped on because you don’t know when the next good one will come. People who bet 3-4 games a week are amateurs. The winners put dough on 3-4 games every season.
I agree that it was a brutal decision by Belichick not to call a timeout and he was extremely lucky it didn’t come back to bite him. Just goes to show the fine line in sports. If Seattle scores, we are talking about Belichick losing 3 straight Super Bowls and not using his time outs instead of debating whether he is the greatest coach ever.
But if he uses the timeout Seattle definitely runs the ball and most likely scores. The choice (debatable as to the logic) to not call a timeout forced Pete Carroll into making a quick decision in which he made an all time awful call.