what do you think this year's pass rate is going to be?

CFA Level III
#1

With the recent change in the multiple choice section (3 choices instead of 4), what do you think the pass rate is going to be? higher than last year’s? by how much?

#2

Higher I hope :slight_smile:

#3

I am thinking it won’t change much - around 50% What bias is that again?

#4

^ conservatism or anchoring

#5

Well done! heer just pushed it to 51%!

#6

Overconfidence…I’ll say 60%

#7

56%

#8

I’ve learned from the reading on overconfidence. My 95% confidence interval for the pass rate is 45%-65%.