i spend about 5-10 minutes during my final preparation for MC exams determining a guessing strategy.
some people finish 1 hour early and get upset they cant leave… im the guy that has 5-15% of answers with blanks and spend the final minutes of the exam praying.
ive found there is little value in “eliminating” an answer. ill leave it blank for the end to guess… ive found that often enough the one option that i quickly discard is actually right… so i guess between all the options. (*unless im sure its not one)
- i have considered using the same letter option for all the blanks and hoped for a + deviation.
- i have generated a random number on my calculater and determined the guess based on the percentile of the number.
- i have guessed depending what the answer before it was and picked the same letter option.
- i have alternated between a-b-c for all blanks
- i have counted the distribution of my selected responsed and guessed based on an anlysis of the results… (either normalizing or going with the mode)
this question is actually a very intense behaivioral economics/statistics exercise. unlike a roulette wheel-the distribution of correct answers on an exam is unknown… would you become suspicious if the first 20 answers were A? depending on the accuracy of purposeful choices, the result of guesses may or may not matter…(leaving 15 blank and still pass).
do test committees consider letter distribution?