busprof - best wishes to you. I don’t know if I could have kept my composure if one of my kids had a similar problem.
55%
Are you really a professor in real life?
58%
busprof- sorry to hear that, but there are just some things you can’t prepare for. Niblita- we’ve talked before and both passed L1 together, I hope you’re discounting your chances. Hopeflly we’ll both be right with our above 50% estimates.
Why not model your probability of passing, incorporating inputs such as historical pass rate, and difficult of this years questions relative to others…etc. haha… I can’t say if i’d pass. Very happy if i pass; dissapointed if i don’t. Lets just wait …back to a ‘normal’ lifestyle everyone?
LICandidate Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > busprof- sorry to hear that, but there are just > some things you can’t prepare for. > > Niblita- we’ve talked before and both passed L1 > together, I hope you’re discounting your chances. > Hopeflly we’ll both be right with our above 50% > estimates. I feel the exact same way as last year as well. Hopefully its the same result.
75% nominal 50% real
50%
What material was it that caught you all off guard (besides Econ and PM)?
49%. Time constraints in the PM caught me off guard.
Niblita75 Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > > I feel the exact same way as last year as well. > Hopefully its the same result. I think that is why I am more confident this year. I definitely feel similar to last year and passed. There were some I guessed rigtht and some i guessed wrong, but I think I definitely knew enough to pass. hopefully it is the same result for both of us. This material was tougher than Level 1 and i don’t want to go through it again.
i knew they would pull some b.s. with real estate so I studied it right before the test (i.e. 30 min before) so that in a sense caught me offguard Very suprised with the wording in PM, econ questions (should have been more intl fischer, PPP related) No Bonds with Embedded Options? No Options? No FRAs?
I was honestly shocked with the real estate stuff. I didn’t even look at the real estate material but the questions were fairly intuitive, so I thought I got three out of the six from intuition and then at least one i asked someone after and guessed right.
In an earlier post I mentioned how before every practice question I did I told myself if I was pretty sure it was right, or if I was guessing. If was pretty sure i was right, I was correct ~84% of the time. If was guessing, I was correct ~39% of the time. Out of 120 questions, 37 guesses would be at 70% correct, and 50 guesses puts me at 65%. How I scored: 18 out of 60 in the AM were guesses. I dare say I thought the first half was “easy”. During the break I thought I was “on my way” although I very much knew what Level 1 was like last June. Then, the PM session, just like last year. 27 out of 60 guesses, 3 or 4 of which were total guesses. One brutal question after another. Felt like I got my teeth kicked in. 45 total guesses puts me somewhere in the 66-67% range. Is that enough? I have the same feeling as last year at L1, maybe slightly better. Only time will tell.
planner Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > busprof - best wishes to you. I don’t know if I > could have kept my composure if one of my kids had > a similar problem. Hey - stuff happens, and that’s what makes life “interesting.” We went through a couple of years of neuroblastoma treatment with him involving a 10-hour surgery, a year and a half of chemo, and radiation. He officially went into remission this last fall, but had a new kind of cancer in January (Wilms Tumor - a kidney cancer). He had a kidney removed and is in the middle of chemo. So, it’s more of the same. If you’ve never gone through it, it’s hard to understand. But the human psyche is is pretty reilient – While you never get “used” to this stuff, you do end up finding ways of dealing with it. It’s a lot like a toothache - after a while, your nervous system dials down, and you don;t notice it that most. Mostly, I compartmentalize. But, to use a WAY overused term, “it is what it is”. The important thing is that he’s well now, and back home. And I crashed for a couple of hours this afternoon, and am now going back upstairs to pass out after reading for a bit. I typically read about a book or two a week, but not the last month or so. So, the the latest Jim Butcher/ Dresden Files novel (and a variety of other trashy fantasy/sci-fi) awaits. Then tomorrow I kick up the gym work and cycling to work of the 10 pounds of suet that somehow magically appeared on the waist the last few moths. It’s catch-up time, boys and girls.
busprof, I am sorry about your son getting sick, but I am happy for you that he is fine now and back home.
51% sure I passed. So I’ll use consolidation.
50/50 for me
Busprof, I feel sorry for you. I can relate a little, my mom has stage 4 lung cancer. I’m glad you can get yourself up and study for the exam. I hope you pass!