How Confident Are You That You Passed?

what is the cutoff passing score this year? a) 70% b) 60% c) 50% d) 40%

between a) and b) just like every year.

lets run a regression model What will the independant variables be? Historical pass rates? the MPS ? lolz

I am pretty sure that I will fail. I think I should have handled the residual income and emerging markets valuation questions better. Had that been the case I would be less concerned at my poor performance on the afternoon questions (Economics, Derivatives, Port Mgmt and Fixed Income in particular). But when you add all that up, I would be surprised if I get thru…can only hope that I did as well as I think I did on Ethics, FSA, Corp Finance and the other Equity Valuation and Fixed Income questions and that the remainder I get some favorable combination of luck to pull me thru. Too many ifs…

I thought I did well after the AM session but Quant killed me. the FI on the AM was tough too. I was so off guard for those simple questions that I didn’t even know how to do it. I studied my a** off for multiple regression and times series. PM exam sucked. What the heck were they asking in Econ and Portfolio. I’m praying that the other sections will pull me through. I’m putting myself as borderline pass/fail.

CFAdummy Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > The more I read this forum, the less confident I > am :frowning: Thats me! I hope I passed but I don’t know - I was wrong on a few and I found ethics to be very difficult on both…I’ll be lucky if I score 50% in that section. I’m leaning more towards studying for this shit again next year than passing.

If I pass, I will probably be at the low end of the range, if I fail I probably at the high end. Painful situation to be in.

If I pass, I will probably be at the low end of the range, if I fail I probably at the high end. Painful situation to be in. It is like I had to fight for every point.

I am 0% confident that I passed and 100% confident that I failed! I guess I must be stupid

I think I’ve went through all the questions discussed on this forum and assumign that the general consensus was correct, I have gotten 12 wrong out of all the questions discussed on this forum so far. That leaves me with a margin of 24 questions that can be incorrect. Hopefully that margin holds up over the next couple weeks, in which case I can say I’m comfortable that I passed assumig 70 % = pass

I guess most of the folks had encountered AM as easy but I was literally under pressure to finish on time but I guess I did PM better than AM…but with all retro thinking, I still have confidence of 65% to pass…

60% chance of passing.

I am 100% sure… that I have no idea

I would love to have just made it through but I think I am probably borderline, so I’d say 50% chance i passed.

I feel like I may have let ilvino down… I give myself a 1 in 5 shot of passing…

i am 0% sure i passed 50% sure i failed. 3% standard deviation with the confidence interval at 90% = 45-55 i have no idea how that went. all i know is contrarty to everyone else, i KILLED the afternoon session but got pumped hard in the morning i guessed on like 4 and all wrong. Port man fucked me nicely.