Predict the passing rate for L2 2009

CFA Level II
#41

37%

#42

BiPolarBoyBoston Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > 37% > > I studied alot but don’t think I passed. I know I > studied more then other people. Hey you are repeat aren’t you? Geuss what… I am going to pass this time.

#43

lets be positive …89%

#44

Considering that the LI perception was that their exam was relatively easy, yet most of us thought LII was ridiculously hard, I think ours will be lower than 46%. I’ll go with 42%.

#45

38% Watch me be right :slight_smile:

#46

The wisdom of crowds… http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisdom_of_the_crowd http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds Excluding the extremely high guesses, the average on here is about 44%.

#47

Boy work is slow today. So here’s what we have so far (repeats and ranges are omitted): 30% Damil4real 37% BiPolarBoyBoston 38% TheAliMan 39% evgong 40% sublimity 41% wake2000 42% nirjraina 43% JensensalphaMale 44% mdecav 47% pjc2000 48% agrover 50% akinzo 51% bos_IT_guy 52% CF_AHHHHHHHHH 54% 4Tay 60% oldboy321 89% golfer 99% charlottekid

#48

I think you missed a few, but put be down for the average of everyone’s guesses, excluding the bottom three you’ve posted. I included the approx. midpoint of the ranges.

#49

bluebird Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > BiPolarBoyBoston Wrote: > -------------------------------------------------- > ----- > > 37% > > > > I studied alot but don’t think I passed. I know > I > > studied more then other people. > > > Hey you are repeat aren’t you? Geuss what… I am > going to pass this time. I’m a repeat. Good for you, now give me a dollar

#50

I side on the wisdom of crowds…in fact, I picked up that book to read over the weekend…next on my list after The Art of War. :slight_smile:

#51

Did you omit these outliers? 60% oldboy321 89% golfer 99% charlottekid

#52

4Tay Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Boy work is slow today. So here’s what we have so > far (repeats and ranges are omitted): > > 30% Damil4real > 37% BiPolarBoyBoston > 38% TheAliMan > 39% evgong > 40% sublimity > 41% wake2000 > 42% nirjraina > 43% JensensalphaMale > 44% mdecav > 47% pjc2000 > 48% agrover > 50% akinzo > 51% bos_IT_guy > 52% CF_AHHHHHHHHH > 54% 4Tay > 60% oldboy321 > 89% golfer > 99% charlottekid My real estimate is 39%

#53

Updated: 30% Damil4real 37% BiPolarBoyBoston 38% TheAliMan 39% evgong, cfablackbelt 40% sublimity 41% wake2000 42% nirjraina 43% JensensalphaMale 44% mdecav 45% adalfu

#54

Hopefully 100%:slight_smile:

#55

41%

#56

I think they have lowered the bar at L1 with the intent of failing more candidates later at L2 - clearly eyeing greater enrolment and top-line. With the initial 1000 dollar investment, most L2 failures are likely to take atleast another shot at the exam before hanging in their boots, thus further bolstering the institute’s future revenues. If this theory holds, L2 pass rate this year will be lower than previous years. I’ll go with 40%

#57

I think it will be around 42%…

#58

Stop already with all the conspiracy theories. Your flawed assumptions lead you to irrcorret conclusions. I know for a fact they didn’t lower the bar for L1. The same goes for L2 - pass rate will be 55% this year.

#59

43% based on recent 2002’s and 2004’s -3% margins with a guess that the L2 rate will be lower than L1. Year Level I Level II Level III 2009 46% 2008 35% 46% 53% 2007 39% 40% 50% 2006 40% 48% 76% 2005 35% 56% 55% 2004 35% 32% 64% 2003 41% 47% 68% 2002 44% 47% 58% 2001 49% 46% 82% 2000 52% 54% 65%

#60

Updated: 30% Damil4real 37% BiPolarBoyBoston 38% TheAliMan 39% evgong, cfablackbelt 40% sublimity 41% wake2000 42% nirjraina 43% JensensalphaMale 44% mdecav 45% adalfu