Trump Wins!

Laws have been enforced for HRC, are you still bitter about email?

Oh, his he going off about THAT?

Jeez, laws were over-enforced in that case, and NOT enforced in all other cases (W Bush, Powell, Condoleezza, etc). This selectively enforcing laws is a big issue in America (manipulation of the law, Trump is all about that).

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/report-donald-trump-offered-john-kasich-chance-to-be-the-most-powerful-vp-in-history/

hahaha

The world went on after Hitler too. Your theory is what, “nothing matters”, except an extinction event? Please explain.

Why are they “losing it”, for using intuition? Intuition would have told us something was wrong with Hitler (he didn’t offer specifics, he appealed to hate and nationalism, he wasn’t all there mentally). Intuition is a sophisticated mechanism we evolved for making decisions given a lack of data…because to wait for the data can result in catastrophic loss. Your theory is to ignore intuition and “see what happens” when things clearly feel wrong? Is that smart?

WOW Donald J Trump looks so presidential

^ It was a good, emotional, speech. I was ready to jump up and shake my fist in the air “hells yeaaah!!!”.

Very simple really…

  1. America is screwed up! [well duh, I got out a long time ago!]

  2. Bold claim – “I can fix it!”. [oh really, how will you do that?]

  3. No plan.

To me higgmond is the bellwether. He is the moderate, level headed conservative type. Trump must convince guys like him in the next 3 months to vote for him in order to even consider winning.

listening to it now. it’s pretty striking how Trump has transformed the party. Compare the content of previous conventions with this one. i can’t recall a time where crony capitalism was ever called out. i never heard a GOPer talk about a system rigged for the political and corporate elite. this is a very positive step.

…edit: masterful play to bring in Bernie supporters.

No way he gets any significant amount of bernie voters. Sealed that fate when he took Pence as VP. Nice to see some talk of the rigged system, its interesting to hear coming from someone who is one of these people. Look through his deals and he wouldnt be where he is without his fathers connections.

Ive really stopped paying much attention to the politics as it doesnt matter who wins as this point global politics looks like its going to be shaping the next 5-10 years no matter who wins

he actually admitted that he was part of the rigged system and deftly turned it around and said it makes him most qualified to fix it. He threw a lot of red meat in the direction of Bernie Supporters (to hushed cheers).

No GOPer has ever talked about protecting the LGBTQ community. The GOP as we knew it is dead.

I think I’m ready to call it now. Trump wins. And if he actually does anything he’s talking about there would likely be an attempt on his life as president.

Believe he narrowed the gap significantly in the most recent FiveThirtyEight poll, but apparently it was never “really” that big to begin with as polling in the summer isnt particularly reliable. Should be an interesting race, lots of monkeys throwing fecal matter sure to occur

I think it matters very much who wins. And votes matter.

The final margin in Florida in the 2000 presidential election was 537 votes. There are probably more than 537 people that log in on AF regularly. Imagine how different the world might be now if another thousand Floridians voted for Gore in 2000. For example, 537 is much less than the more than 4,000 US combat deaths in Iraq.

How would President Gore have reacted to 9/11? Would he have invaded Iraq? Recent world history could be quite different if those hanging chads had gone the other way.

(Bloomberg) –

In his speech Thursday night accepting the Republican nomination, Donald Trump stretched the facts on numerous occasions, got them right in other cases and cherry-picked data to make his case for the presidency. The speech was accompanied by 282 footnotes, primarily from mainstream media outlets and government sources, to support his claims.

Below is a look at Trump’s statements, and how they compare to the facts.

Crime

TRUMP: “Homicides last year increased by 17% in America’s fifty largest cities. That’s the largest increase in 25 years. In our nation’s capital, killings have risen by 50 percent. They are up nearly 60% in nearby Baltimore.”

THE FACTS: Trump’s figures come from a Jan. 27 Washington Post articleanalyzing preliminary FBI crime statistics that won’t be finalized until the fall. But violent crime remains lower than it was a decade ago and the rate has been falling for roughly 25 years. “When considering 5- and 10-year trends, the 2014 estimated violent crime total was 6.9 percent below the 2010 level and 16.2 percent below the 2005 level” the FBI reports.

TRUMP: “The number of police officers killed in the line of duty has risen by almost 50% compared to this point last year.”

THE FACTS: Trump mixes up some numbers here. The footnotes to Trump’s speech cite a Newsweek article that uses data from the National Law Enforcement Officers Memorial Fund about the number of firearms related deaths of law enforcement officers. Most of that jump, to 26 so far this year from 18 fatalities at this point last year, is a result of the killing of five Dallas police officers earlier this month. Overall deaths of officers are up 8 percent in 2016 compared to 2015, according to the organization.

Immigration

TRUMP: “The number of new illegal immigrant families who have crossed the border so far this year already exceeds the entire total from 2015.”

THE FACTS: Trump’s numbers are accurate, but they reflect the number of people stopped at the border. Family unit border apprehensions, a proxy for attempts to illegally enter the country, climbed to 51,147 in the first nine months of the 2016 fiscal year. That’s 28 percent higher than the number for the entire 12 months of the 2015 fiscal year, according to data from U.S. Customs and Border Protection.

TRUMP: “My opponent has called for a radical 550% increase in Syrian refugees on top of existing massive refugee flows coming into our country under President Obama.”

THE FACTS: Clinton has called for the admission of 65,000 refugees from Syria, from the 10,000 President Barack Obama is seeking to admit in the current fiscal year. The screening process for those refugees takes, on average, one to two years.

Economy

TRUMP: “Household incomes are down more than $4,000 since the year 2000.”

THE FACTS: He is correct in that between January 1, 2000 and January 1, 2014, median household incomes were down $4,186. It’s also slightly misleading—Trump picked the all-time peak of median household income. Since the peak in 1989, for example, median household income is up, but only by $351 dollars. It would be more accurate, though not much less damning, to say median household income barely went up between 1989 and 2014, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. More recent data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows some improvement in average hourly wages since the end of 2014.

Taxes

TRUMP: “America is one of the highest-taxed nations in the world.”

THE FACTS: This claim is misleading. The grain of truth is that the U.S. corporate tax rate is one of the highest in the world, although deductions and exclusions shrink actual corporate taxes paid to levels below those in many other countries. However, when it comes to overall tax revenue collected as a share of GDP, the U.S. ranks among the lowest of the 34 industrialized nations in the Organization for Economic Coordination and Development, according todata provided by the organization. The low ranking reflects in part corporate profits held offshore that go untaxed in the U.S.

TRUMP: “While Hillary Clinton plans a massive tax increase, I have proposed the largest tax reduction of any candidate who has declared for the presidential race this year—Democrat or Republican.”

THE FACTS: Trump’s tax plan, which proposed roughly $10 trillion in tax cuts over the next decade, is evolving—and it may not end up containing “the largest tax reduction of any candidate.” This week, conservative economists Stephen Moore and Lawrence Kudlow, who are advising his campaign, said a new version that’s coming soon would reduce the revenue cuts by about two-thirds.

Iran

TRUMP: “Iran is on the path to nuclear weapons.”

THE FACTS: A nonpartisan Congressional Research Service report in March said the Iran nuclear agreement struck last year has “lessened, although not eliminated, U.S. concerns about Iran’s nuclear program.” Under the deal, Iran destroyed the core of its plutonium reactor as part of broader accord to give up or delay its nuclear program in exchange for an easing of U.S.-led sanctions that helped cripple the nation’s economy. The International Atomic Energy Agency has since determined that Iran has removed more than two-thirds of the centrifuges needed for enrichment of nuclear material and reduced its stockpile of highly-enriched uranium.

TRUMP: The nuclear deal “gave back to Iran $150 billion and gave us nothing.”

FACTS: The rhetoric is misleading; the money refers to Iranian assets currently frozen due to sanctions. The U.S. estimates that $55 billion in frozen assets are supposed to be released to Iran. Iranian officials—who say they need the money to buy airliners, improve infrastructure and boost a struggling economy—argue European and Asian banks are reluctant to deal with them because they fear remaining U.S. sanctions that weren’t affected by the nuclear accord.

Islamic State

TRUMP: After four years of Hillary Clinton as secretary of state, “ISIS has spread across the region, and the world.”

THE FACTS: This is misleading. The Islamic State made its most significant gains on the ground in Syria and Iraq after Clinton left office in February 2013 and it is now losing territory. According to the Pentagon and State Department, the group has been pushed from 50 percent of its territory in Iraq and 20 percent in Syria. Nevertheless, the group’s ideology has spread online and helped inspire deadly attacks from Europe to the U.S.

Egypt

TRUMP: “Egypt was peaceful,” he said. During Clinton’s time as secretary of state, “Egypt was turned over to the radical Muslim brotherhood, forcing the military to retake control.”

THE FACTS: Egypt had indeed been peaceful during the 30 years Hosni Mubarak ruled the country, but the upheaval had little to do with Hillary Clinton, and was initially hailed as a sign of democratic progress. The Muslim Brotherhood’s Mohamed Morsi took over the leadership in 2012 after the Arab Spring paved the way for first free presidential vote in the country’s history. Morsi was ousted in a 2013 military coup, following Clinton’s departure as secretary of state, prompting the Obama administration to suspend military aid.

Guns

TRUMP: “My opponent wants to essentially abolish the Second Amendment.”

THE FACTS: This claim is inaccurate. Clinton has spoken out for modest gun control measures that are permissible under Supreme Court precedent, such as background checks and a ban on assault weapons. She opposes a 2008 ruling that expanded gun rights, but hasn’t come close to calling for the abolition of the Second Amendment.

Between this and Trump’s faux math on entitlement reform that was exposed during one of the debates, it’s painfully obvious to anyone who actually understands the issues that Trump’s words are more conjecture than substance.

how about Ivanka talking about equal pay for women

You mean a life-long con man said things that were not true?? How can that be!!

even “fact checked” articles can be fact checked. Ivanka is trump’s Michelle Obama -he will be our next president.

PA - if you were in dire need, say locked up in jail for no reason, who would you call on trump or clinton? I think everyone would call on the former bc he’s a greater advocate and a stronger willed person who is better suited to lead.

I guess the thinking in the minds of the masses is “we are in a tough spot, we need a dictator, he will save us”. Trump is bad intentioned , he’s not going to save you, you’re all gonna get conned, and end up in a worse spot. If he gets elected, check back in 8yrs, I’ll be right, and I’ll be richer. :wink:

Actually, Clinton is a) a lawyer and b) far better connected politically, so I’d rather have her on my side than bozo. You don’t want to cross Hillary. On the contrary, if Hillary was your friend, you wouldn’t be in jail in the first place.

Oh, good points.

Trump’s little circus of a convention was embarrassing. He can’t even run that little show. How will he save a country? Nobody good wanted to be associated with him, and he’s too cheap to pay them off and make them come speak. He’s even too cheap to hire a real speech writer. He’s too cheap to license the real music (knock off versions of songs were played during breaks). Everything he does is ill-planned with excessive risk taking. That’s how he underperformed for 30yrs.